高级检索

    基于IV-RF耦合模型与空间约束采样的滑坡易发性评价优化

    Optimization of landslide susceptibility assessment based on IV-RF coupling model and spatially constrained sampling

    • 摘要:
      目的 耒阳市滑坡灾害频发,对人民生命财产和生态安全构成严重威胁。为提高滑坡易发性评价的精度,
      方法 以湖南省耒阳市为研究区,构建信息量模型(information value model, IV)与随机森林模型(random forest, RF)耦合的IV-RF模型,引入空间约束采样策略优化负样本选取策略,开展滑坡易发性评价。通过ROC曲线和AUC值对3种模型进行对比分析,同时提出综合性能指数用于综合评价模型表现。
      结果 1)IV-RF耦合模型表现优于单一模型,AUC = 0.952,综合性能指数(Accuracy + F1 + MCC)为2.593。极高−高易发区滑坡点分布密集,极低−低易发区滑坡点极少,验证模型具有较高的空间预测精度。2)工程地质岩组因子是影响研究区滑坡发育最重要的评价因子之一。
      结论 IV-RF耦合模型结合IV的数据定量解译与RF的非线性识别能力,可有效提升模型识别精度,研究结果可为研究区滑坡灾害风险防控、水土保持和国土空间规划提供科学依据。

       

      Abstract:
      Objective Landslides occur frequently in Leiyang city, Hunan province, posing a serious threat to people’s lives, property, and ecological security.
      Methods To improve the accuracy of landslide susceptibility assessment, this study took Leiyang city, Hunan province as the study area. An information value (IV)-random forest (RF) coupling model (IV-RF model) was constructed, and a spatially constrained sampling strategy was introduced to optimize the negative sample selection strategy for landslide susceptibility assessment. The three models—IV, RF, and IV-RF—were comparatively analyzed using the ROC curve and the AUC value. Additionally, a composite performance index was proposed to comprehensively assess model performance.
      Results The results showed that: 1) the IV-RF coupling model outperformed the single models, with an AUC value of 0.952 and a composite performance index (Accuracy + F1-score + MCC) of 2.593. Landslide points were densely distributed in the very high- and high-susceptibility zones, while very few were found in the very low- and low-susceptibility zones, verifying that the model had high spatial prediction accuracy. 2) The engineering geological rock group factor was identified as one of the most critical assessment factors affecting landslide development in the study area.
      Conclusions The IV-RF coupling model effectively integrates the quantitative data interpretation capability of the IV model with the nonlinear identification capability of RF model, which can effectively improve the model’s identification accuracy. The findings of this study can provide a scientific basis for landslide disaster risk prevention and control, soil and water conservation, and territorial spatial planning within the study area.

       

    /

    返回文章
    返回