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    黄河流域土地利用/覆盖时空变化特征及驱动因素分析

    Characterization of Spatiotemporal Land use/cover Changes in the Yellow River Basin and Analysis of Driving Factors

    • 摘要: 黄河流域作为中国的重要生态屏障和经济带,研究其土地利用变化对黄河流域生态建设和高质量发展具有重要意义。本研究基于2000-2020年的土地利用、气候、地形和人为活动数据,利用土地利用转移矩阵、土地利用动态度及空间分析方法分析了黄河流域土地利用时空格局变化特征,并基于最优参数地理探测器进一步分析自然及人为活动等因素对土地利用变化的影响。结果表明:(1)2000-2020黄河流域土地利用/覆盖类型以草地、农田、森林和灌木为主,这四种类型占流域总面积90%以上。其中,不同土地利用/覆盖类型中,森林、建设用地呈现持续扩大的趋势,农田、裸地持续减少,冰雪、水域、湿地整体变化不大,农田和草地之间的相互转移为主要的土地利用/覆盖转移类型。(2)2000-2020年黄河流域不同土地利用/覆盖中湿地、不透水面和裸地变化幅度最大,草地变化幅度最小。土地利用整体变化幅度呈现先减小后增大的趋势。(3)不同影响因素中,气候及社会经济因素决定了对黄河流域土地利用/覆盖分布格局。单因子及交互因子探测结果表明,GDP、气温及高程主导了黄河流域的土地利用/覆盖空间分布,其中降雨和高程的交互作用主要解释了土地利用/覆盖空间的空间分布。本研究可为黄河流域土地资源管理及高质量发展提供科学参考。

       

      Abstract: As an important ecological barrier and economic belt in China, the study of land use changes in the Yellow River Basin is of great significance to the ecological construction and high-quality development of the Yellow River Basin. Based on the data of land use, climate, topography and anthropogenic activities from 2000 to 2020, this study analyzed the characteristics of land use spatio-temporal pattern changes in the Yellow River Basin by using the land use transfer matrix, land use dynamics, and spatial analysis methods, and further analyzed the impacts of natural and anthropogenic activities and other factors on the land use changes based on the Optimal Parameter Geodetector (OPGD). The results show that: (1) the land use/cover types in the Yellow River Basin from 2000 to 2020 are dominated by grassland, farmland, forests and shrubs, and these four types account for more than 90% of the total area of the basin. Among the different land use/cover types, forests and construction land show a continuous expansion trend, farmland and bare land continue to decrease, ice, water and wetland have little change as a whole, and mutual transfer between farmland and grassland is the main land use/cover transfer type. (2) Wetland, impervious surface and bare land have the largest change amplitude among different land use/cover in the Yellow River Basin from 2000 to 2020, and grassland has the smallest change amplitude. The overall change magnitude of land use shows a trend of decreasing and then increasing. (3) Among the different influencing factors, climatic and socioeconomic factors determine the distribution pattern of land use/cover in the Yellow River Basin. The results of single-factor and interactive factors showed that GDP, temperature and elevation dominated the spatial distribution of land use/cover in the Yellow River Basin, and the interaction of rainfall and elevation mainly explained the spatial distribution of land use/cover. This study can provide scientific references for land resource management and high quality development in the Yellow River Basin.

       

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