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    基于熵权法的宁夏生产建设项目水土流失扰动与恢复特征评价

    Evaluation of soil erosion disturbance and restoration characteristics of production and construction projects in Ningxia based on the entropy weight method

    • 摘要: [目的]科学评估生产建设项目在生态脆弱区的水土流失“净”环境影响,是实施差异化、精准化生态监管的前提。宁夏地处黄河上游西北内陆,水力侵蚀突出,生态脆弱,科学评估其生产建设项目扰动与恢复特征对区域防控具有重要意义。[方法]本研究基于近6 a( 2020~2025年) 宁夏84个已验收典型生产建设项目数据,采用熵权法确定指标权重,构建9项二级指标的耦合“扰动-恢复”过程的综合评价体系,并引入水土流失影响综合指数(SWII)量化项目“净”影响程度,在全域尺度揭示不同类型项目的水土流失影响特征与分异规律。[结果]1)熵权法权重显示,土石方扰动强度(权重0.475)与扰动土地面积(权重0.221)是决定项目潜在水土流失风险的主导扰动因子,水土流失控制比(权重0.767)与可恢复扰动区林草覆盖率(权重0.136)则主导恢复效果评价;2)输变电工程扰动指数最高(0.408),呈现“高扰动-低恢复”特征,平均SWII达0.335,净负面影响最为突出;风电工程与引调水工程次之,平均SWII分别为0.305和0.292;加工制造类(0.117)与房地产工程(0.099)在可恢复区域表现出较好的恢复效果,综合影响相对最轻。[结论]本研究构建的“熵权法-SWII”评价模型实现了对生产建设项目水土流失“扰动-恢复”特征与“净”影响程度的系统量化,线性工程及能源工程是当前水土保持监管与生态修复的优先对象。该模型可为生态脆弱区水土保持规划、项目分类精准管控及修复优先级划定提供科学的量化工具与数据支撑

       

      Abstract: [Background]Production and construction activities often induce severe soil erosion and ecosystem degradation, especially in ecologically vulnerable regions. Ningxia, located in the upper Yellow River basin in northwestern China, is characterized by pronounced water erosion, low precipitation, and high ecological fragility. The coexistence of intensive construction and environmental sensitivity necessitates systematic evaluation of disturbance and restoration dynamics to support differentiated regulation and targeted ecological restoration. However, existing studies typically address disturbance or restoration in isolation, lacking an integrated framework to quantify the “net” environmental impact across diverse project types.[Methods]This study developed a comprehensive disturbance-restoration evaluation system and applied it to 84 typical production and construction projects completed in Ningxia between 2020 and 2025, covering seven categories: highway, wind power, water diversion, small-scale water conservancy, processing and manufacturing, power transmission and transformation, and real estate. A two-tier indicator system was established, comprising four disturbance indicators and five restoration indicators. The entropy weight method was employed to objectively determine indicator weights, and the Soil and Water Loss Impact Index (SWII) model was extended to calculate separate disturbance and restoration indices, with their sum representing the net impact index.[Results]The entropy weight analysis revealed distinct priorities in evaluating soil erosion processes. Among disturbance factors, earthwork disturbance intensity received the highest weight (0.475), indicating that the volume of excavation and filling per unit area is the most critical driver of initial erosion risk, followed by disturbed land area (0.221). For restoration indicators, the proportion of soil erosion control dominated with a weight of 0.767, demonstrating that achieving the designed soil loss reduction target is the paramount measure of restoration success. The percentage of forestry and grass coverage in the recoverable disturbance zone also played a significant role (0.136), affirming the synergy of engineering and biological measures. Further analysis based on SWII values delineated a clear typological spectrum. Power transmission and transformation projects exhibited the highest disturbance index (0.408) and the highest net SWII (0.335), defining a “high-disturbance-low-restoration” profile that warrants prioritized intervention. Wind power projects (SWII=0.305) and water diversion projects (SWII=0.292) followed, characterized by moderate to high disturbance but insufficient restoration. In contrast, processing and manufacturing projects (0.117) and real estate projects (0.099) achieved the lowest net impacts, demonstrating that restoration efforts within their permissible areas can effectively mitigate disturbance effects. Highway projects (0.180) and other small-scale water conservancy projects (0.209) occupied an intermediate position, suggesting that their current mitigation-restoration balance leaves room for improvement.[Conculsions]The “Entropy Weight Method-SWII” framework developed in this study systematically quantifies the disturbance-restoration dynamics and net soil erosion impacts of production and construction projects in ecologically fragile regions. The findings identify linear infrastructure and energy projects as priority targets for enhanced soil and water conservation supervision and ecological remediation. The model provides a robust quantitative tool to support differentiated project management, restoration prioritization, and soil and water conservation planning. It also offers a transferable methodological reference for evaluating the environmental effects of construction activities in other ecologically vulnerable regions facing similar challenges of balancing development and ecosystem protection.

       

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