高级检索

    山东省不同水土保持分区耕地爬坡特征及其驱动因素

    Characteristics and driving factors of cultivated land uphill movement in different soil and water conservation zones of Shandong province

    • 摘要: 城市化快速推进导致耕地被大量占用,新增耕地向高坡发展。现有研究多聚焦于耕地数量的空间再分配,对坡度这一衡量耕地质量和生产力的关键自然属性关注不足。因此,本文以山东省为研究区,基于1990—2020年典型时期土地利用、数字高程及自然社会因子等数据,利用坡谱曲线、坡度指数与地理探测器等方法,分析耕地坡度上升趋势,探究不同坡度下耕地占补特征,揭示耕地坡度上升的主要驱动因子。结果表明:1)研究区耕地向高坡度区域扩张,15°以上耕地面积占比增加0.55%。其中胶东半岛丘陵蓄水保土区(Ⅲ-4-1xt)、鲁中南低山丘陵土壤保持区(Ⅲ-4-2t)是坡度上升的核心区,新增耕地坡度始终高于流失耕地,且在2000—2005年“显著上坡”范围骤增。2)耕地面积净变化率持续为负,占多补少问题较突出。建设占用以2-6°为主,黄泛平原防沙农田防护区(Ⅲ-5-3fn)表现最突出;耕地补充主要来源于Ⅲ-4-1xt和Ⅲ-4-2t区6-15°的林草开垦,渤海湾生态维护区(Ⅲ-5-2w)其他开垦类比例较高。(3)因子探测结果表明,降雨为主导因子,GDP及人为活动强度因子次之;交互探测多表现为双因子增强,全省、Ⅲ-4-1xt、Ⅲ-4-2t和Ⅲ-5-2w区以降雨∩人为活动强度为主导,Ⅲ-5-3fn区以距道路距离∩人为活动强度为主导。研究揭示了由于气象、社会经济与人类活动协同作用下耕地爬坡现象,对优化耕地保护、加强耕地生态风险防控、科学推进土地利用规划等具有参考价值。

       

      Abstract: 【Background】The rapid advancement of urbanization has resulted in the extensive conversion of cultivated land, pushing the development of new cultivated land towards steeper slopes. Existing research primarily addresses the spatial redistribution of cultivated land quantity but pays insufficient attention to slope, a critical natural factor influencing cultivated land quality and productivity.【Methods】This study focuses on Shandong Province as the research area. Using land use data, digital elevation models, and natural and socio-economic factor data from representative periods between 1990 and 2020, we apply methods such as slope spectrum curves, the cultivated land slope index, and geographical detector analysis to examine the trend of cultivated land shifting toward higher slopes. We also investigate the characteristics of cultivated land loss and compensation across different slope gradients and identify the primary driving factors behind this upward shift.【Results】(1) Cultivated land in the study area expanded into regions with steeper slopes, with the proportion of cultivated land on slopes greater than 15° increasing by 0.55%. The Jiaodong peninsula hilly region for water storage and soil conservation (Ⅲ-4-1xt) and the South-central Shandong low mountain and hilly region for soil conservation (Ⅲ-4-2t) were identified as the core areas driving this increase in slope cultivation. Notably, the slopes of newly added cultivated land consistently exceeded those of lost cultivated land, and the area experiencing a "significant shift to higher slopes" expanded dramatically between 2000 and 2005.(2) The net change rate of cultivated land area remained negative, underscoring a significant issue of more land being occupied than compensated. Construction occupation primarily occurred on slopes of 2–6°, most notably in the Yellow River Floodplain Region for Sand Control and Farmland Shelter (Ⅲ-5-3fn). In contrast, compensation of cultivated land mainly resulted from the reclamation of forest and grass land on slopes of 6–15° within the Ⅲ-4-1xt and Ⅲ-4-2t subregions, while the Bohai bay region for ecological conservation (Ⅲ-5-2w) exhibited a higher proportion of other types of reclamation.(3) The factor detector results identified rainfall as the dominant factor, followed by GDP and human activity intensity. The interaction detector revealed predominantly two-factor enhancement effects. The interaction between rainfall ∩ human activity intensity served as the primary interacting pair across the entire province and within the Ⅲ-4-1xt, Ⅲ-4-2t, and Ⅲ-5-2w subregions. In contrast, the interaction between distance to roads ∩ human activity intensity was the dominant combination in the Ⅲ-5-3fn subregion.【Conclusions】This study reveals that the phenomenon of cultivated land climbing slopes, driven by the synergistic effects of meteorological conditions, socioeconomic factors, and human activities, holds reference value for optimizing cultivated conservation, strengthening ecological risk prevention and control, and scientifically advancing land use planning.

       

    /

    返回文章
    返回