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    我国水资源空间分布差异及影响因子研究

    Research on the disparity and influencing factors of water resources distribution in China

    • 摘要: 我国水资源分布差异较大,深入探索其差异并识别相似区域有助于优化水资源管理策略及方案。本研究旨在辨析我国不同水资源一级区在水文、生态与气象等要素驱动下的系统差异并进行分类。本研究基于水文—生态—用水方面的指标,以全国十个水资源一级区(6个北方区,4个南方区)的降水量、蒸发量和径流深等指标的2021—2023年和多年平均值为基础,采用Pearson相关性分析探索以上变量间的作用机制,结合主成分分析进行水资源特征分区。研究显示:(1)南方区降水量、径流深、植被覆盖度均大于北方区,南方区之间总降水量呈现总体稳定的趋势;(2)水文过程受气候与用水等多因子协同驱动,降水量与植被覆盖率、径流量与地下水资源量呈正相关,径流深与年日照时数呈显著负相关;(3)松花江区、辽河区、海河区、黄河区、淮河区属于水资源紧张区域;长江区、珠江区和西南诸河区属于水资源相对丰富区域。本研究在揭示区域差异的协同机制的基础上进行了水资源分区,为提高用水效率、水资源利用优化方案提供理论支撑。

       

      Abstract: Background The ten first-level water resource regions in China exhibit significant variations. In-depth exploration of these differences are critical for optimizing water resource management strategies and solutions. This study aimed to analyze the systematic differences among primary water resource regions under the influence of hydrological, ecological, and meteorological drivers. Methods This study established a multi-dimensional evaluation framework based on hydrology-ecology-water use indicators. Using Pearson correlation analysis and principal component analysis (PCA), we investigated inter-variable mechanisms with datasets by 2021–2023 and the long-term average data. Results We concluded: (1) Pronounced spatial disparities were observed in hydrological characteristics. The precipitation, runoff depth, and vegetation coverage in the southern regions are all greater than those in the northern regions, and the total precipitation in the southern regions shows a generally stable trend. Southern regions demonstrated abundant water resources and balanced water–heat conditions, with runoff volumes 3.51–4.21 times greater and runoff depths 2.76–3.92 times higher than those in northern regions. The Yangtze River Basin contained the most abundant surface water resources, reaching 945.59 billion m³, while the north regions possessed relatively high groundwater resources, amounting to 75.85 billion m³; (2) Regarding water use efficiency indicators, the Northwest Rivers Region ranked highest in both per capita comprehensive water use (2005.33 m³/person) and water use per RMB 10,000 GDP. The Pearl River Basin recorded the highest irrigation water use per mu (671 m³/mu); (3) Hydrological processes are synergistically driven by multiple factors such as climate and water use. Precipitation is positively correlated with vegetation coverage, runoff volume is positively correlated with groundwater resources, and runoff depth shows a significant negative correlation with annual sunshine hours; Conclusion Regional clustering indicated that the Songhuajiang, Liaohe, Haihe, Yellow River, and Huaihe River Basins shared characteristics of water-stressed regions, whereas the Yangtze River, Zhujiang, and Southwest River Basins were relatively water-abundant. Water-stressed regions should accelerate efficient water resource utilization and ecological restoration efforts, in addition to promoting water-saving agriculture. This study reveals synergistic mechanisms underlying regional heterogeneity and provides theoretical support for optimizing water-use efficiency and resource allocation strategies.

       

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