高级检索

    2017—2023年丹江口库区水质时空变化及其与极端降雨的关系分析

    Spatiotemporal variations in water quality and their relationships with extreme rainfall in the Danjiangkou Reservoir from 2017 to 2023

    • 摘要: 【目的】近年来全球极端降雨事件频发,明确丹江口库区水质时空变化及其对极端降雨的响应规律,对水质安全保障具有重要意义。【方法】本研究基于2017—2023年逐日降雨数据及31个站点的月度水质数据,采用极端降雨指数、季节性Mann-Kendall趋势检验、Sen’s斜率估计及Pearson相关性分析方法,揭示了水质时空变化特征及其对极端降雨的响应差异。【结果】1)研究期内,多项极端降雨指数总体呈上升趋势,降水极端化特征增强。2)水质演变具有显著时空差异,库区波动幅度整体小于支流,TN在两类水体中均呈显著上升趋势,为最突出的水质压力因子,而NH3-N与TP变化相对平稳。3)水质对极端降雨的响应存在明显区域分异,水温对降雨变化敏感,pH在库区与极端降雨多呈正相关,在支流中则以负相关为主,DO随降雨增强普遍下降,有机物指标(CODMn、COD)呈升高趋势;TN在库区与支流中均与降雨增强呈负相关,但其主控降雨因子存在差异。【结论】总体而言,极端降雨通过影响径流过程、污染物输移及水体稀释作用,对库区与支流水质产生差异化影响。结果可为南水北调中线水源地水环境风险识别与分区管控提供依据。

       

      Abstract: Objective In recent years, global extreme rainfall events have become increasingly frequent. Revealing the spatiotemporal variation characteristics of water quality in the Danjiangkou Reservoir area and its response to extreme rainfall is of great significance for ensuring water quality safety. Methods In this study, we made use of the daily rainfall data spanning the period from 2017 to 2023, together with the monthly water quality monitoring data that were collected from a total of 31 monitoring stations. A series of analytical approaches were adopted, which included the calculation of multiple extreme rainfall indices, the application of the seasonal Mann Kendall trend test for detecting monotonic trends, the use of Sen’s slope estimator for quantifying the magnitudes of the detected trends, and the performance of Pearson correlation analysis to evaluate the relationships between the extremization of rainfall and the various water quality indicators. Through the integration of these methods, we were able to reveal the trends of spatiotemporal water quality variation and their differential associations with extreme rainfall. Results The results obtained from this study are summarized as follows: 1) Over the entire study period, the majority of the extreme rainfall indices exhibited a general upward tendency, which clearly indicates that the characteristics of precipitation extremization became more pronounced. 2) The temporal and spatial evolution of water quality showed significant differences across the study area. More specifically, the range of fluctuations in water quality within the reservoir area was generally smaller than that observed in the tributary rivers. Among all the water quality parameters examined, total nitrogen (TN) exhibited a significant increasing trend in both the reservoir area and the tributaries, thus making it the most prominent factor exerting pressure on water quality. In contrast, the concentrations of ammonia nitrogen (NH₃ N) and total phosphorus (TP) remained relatively stable throughout the study period, without showing any notable trends. 3) The response of water quality to extreme rainfall displayed clear regional differentiation. For instance, water temperature was found to be sensitive to variations in rainfall. Regarding pH, it was mostly positively correlated with extreme rainfall in the reservoir area, while in the tributaries the correlation was predominantly negative. Dissolved oxygen (DO) generally exhibited a decreasing trend with increasing rainfall, whereas the organic matter indicators, including CODMn and COD, showed increasing tendencies. As for total nitrogen (TN), it was negatively correlated with increased rainfall in both the reservoir and the tributaries; however, the specific rainfall indices that dominated the correlation differed between the two water bodies. Conclusions In general, extreme rainfall influences water quality by altering runoff processes, pollutant transport, and dilution effects, leading to differentiated responses between the reservoir and its tributaries. These findings provide a scientific basis for water quality risk identification and zoned management in the water source area of the Middle Route of the South-to-North Water Diversion Project.

       

    /

    返回文章
    返回