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    中国荒漠化防治实践融入《联合国防治荒漠化公约》全球治理的SWOT分析

    SWOT Analysis on Integrating China’s Desertification Combating Practices into the Global Governance of the United Nations Convention to Combat Desertification

    • 摘要: 土地荒漠化治理经验的国际扩散不仅取决于单项技术效果,还取决于技术与水土资源条件、治理能力、融资机制和监测体系的协同适配。为回应《联合国防治荒漠化公约》(以下简称《公约》)履约由经验展示向制度化技术转移转变的需求,本文将研究视角由《公约》一般性战略评估调整为中国荒漠化防治实践融入全球治理的条件与路径。基于《公约》官方文件、中国荒漠化和沙化监测成果、《全国防沙治沙规划(2021—2030年)》及相关实证研究,构建“制度基础—技术适用性—转移机制—外部环境”分析框架,并运用SWOT方法进行战略匹配。结果表明:(1)中国形成了法律规划、目标责任、重大生态工程、空天地一体化监测和国际培训协同推进的治理体系,是参与全球荒漠化治理的主要优势;(2)封禁保护、机械沙障、乔灌草复合配置、光伏治沙等措施均具有明确的自然和经济适用边界,水资源承载力、长期管护成本和本土治理能力是跨境复制的关键约束;(3)《公约》技术转移框架、南南合作、绿色金融、碳市场和自然资本投资为中国经验制度化扩散提供了机会,而气候变化、地缘政治冲突、国际经济波动和全球公共卫生事件可能造成资金、人员和数据链中断;(4)中国经验的全球价值不在于输出单项技术,而在于形成“需求评估—分区匹配—联合试验—人员培训—标准共建—融资安排—绩效监测”的完整转移链。由此提出SO、ST、WO和WT四类战略路径,为中国荒漠化防治实践通过《公约》机制转化为可评估、可适配和可持续的全球公共产品提供依据。

       

      Abstract: The international diffusion of desertification-control experience depends not only on the performance of individual technologies, but also on their compatibility with local water and soil conditions, governance capacity, financing arrangements, and monitoring systems. To respond to the shift in implementation of the United Nations Convention to Combat Desertification (UNCCD) from showcasing experience to institutionalized technology transfer, this study redirects the analytical focus from a general assessment of the Convention to the conditions and pathways through which China’s desertification-control practices can contribute to global governance. Official UNCCD documents, China’s national desertification and sandy-land monitoring results, the National Plan for Desertification Control (2021–2030), and empirical studies were synthesized within an analytical framework covering institutional foundations, technological suitability, transfer mechanisms, and the external environment. A SWOT approach was then used for strategic matching. The results show that: (1) China’s integrated system of legislation and planning, target-based accountability, major ecological programs, space–air–ground monitoring, and international training constitutes a major comparative strength; (2) enclosure and natural regeneration, mechanical sand barriers, integrated tree–shrub–grass configurations, and photovoltaic-based sand control all have explicit biophysical and economic boundaries, with water carrying capacity, long-term maintenance costs, and local governance capacity being decisive constraints on transferability; (3) the UNCCD technology-transfer framework, South–South cooperation, green finance, carbon markets, and natural-capital investment create opportunities, whereas climate change, geopolitical conflict, international economic volatility, and global public-health emergencies may disrupt finance, personnel, and data flows; and (4) the global value of China’s experience lies not in exporting isolated techniques, but in establishing a complete transfer chain of needs assessment, regional matching, joint piloting, capacity building, co-development of standards, financing, and performance monitoring. SO, ST, WO, and WT strategies are proposed to transform China’s practices into assessable, adaptable, and sustainable global public goods under the UNCCD framework.

       

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