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    皇甫川流域降水和人类活动对水沙变化的定量分析

    Impacts of precipitation and human activities on streamflow and sediment load in the Huangfuchuan Watershed

    • 摘要: 采用线性趋势法、非参数Mann-Kendall趋势检验法、累积距平法及径流历时曲线法分析皇甫川流域1955—2010年水沙变化特征,通过水文分析法定量评价降水和人类活动对水沙变化的贡献率。结果表明:皇甫川流域径流量和输沙量均呈急剧减少趋势,尤其在20世纪80年代之后,减少更加显著,近10年(2000—2010)的平均径流量与输沙量相当于1950—1959年的约20%;皇甫站径流量和输沙量均在1979年发生突变;在变化期1980—2010年,人类活动对流域水沙变化的贡献占主导因素,约为70%,而降水所占比例为30%左右;自20世纪80年代始,大规模的水土保持措施(如退耕还林(草)、梯田建设、水库淤地坝等工程)等人类活动是流域水沙锐减的主要影响因素。

       

      Abstract: Based on hydrologic analysis this paper quantitatively researched the contribution of precipitation and human activities on streamflow and sediment load. The present study applied simple linear regression, Mann-Kendall test, accumulative annual anomaly and flow duration curve method to investigate the variation of streamflow and sediment load in the Huangfuchuan Watershed in the middle reaches of the Yellow River according to the measurement data from 1955 to 2010. Significant reduction in both streamflow and sediment load were detected, as well as abrupt changing point in 1979 was found. Average annual streamflow and sediment load during 2000 and 2010 are extremely low, accounting for only 20% of those from 1950 to 1959. Human activities accounted for approximately 70% of reduction in streamflow and sediment load, and the remains was attributed to decreased precipitation. Since the early 1980s, a series of large-scale soil and water conservation measures (e.g. returning cropland to forests, grassland, terracing, reservoirs and check-dams construction) are the dominant factors leading to significant reduction in streamflow and sediment load in the Huangfuchuan Watershed.

       

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